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Unravel Global
The Distressed Brief
By Unravel Global
Est. 2026 · San Francisco
Free · Every Friday
@realsergeyvorobey
Intelligence Report · Distressed Credit

The brief that
credit investors
actually read.

Every Friday, we send a free distressed market intelligence report — verified claims, emerging restructurings, and the macro signals that most analysts miss until it's too late. Backed by Unravel's global journalist network.

Free · Forever
Sent every Friday
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Sample issue — Friday 14 February 2026
The Distressed Brief
By Sergey Vorobey
@realsergeyvorobey
Lead Story
European Private Credit Hits Record $65B — And the Workout Season Is Just Beginning
Ares Capital Europe VI closed at €17.1B last quarter, making it the largest European private credit fund ever raised. But here's what most coverage missed: 8% of BDC income across the sector is now paid in-kind — a signal that a significant cohort of borrowers can't service debt in cash.

Our journalists in Frankfurt and Amsterdam spent three days verifying claims from three restructuring advisors who told Bloomberg the situation was "manageable." Their private assessment was significantly less optimistic. We rated the Bloomberg claim: Misleading. Here's why…
LME Watch
The Altice USA Second Step: What Every Creditor Needs to Know Before Tuesday
Gibson Dunn's restructuring chair called Altice USA and KIK Consumer Products "canaries in the coal mine" for 2026. We verified the claim through four independent sources — two restructuring attorneys, one creditor-side advisor, and a local journalist with access to court documents.

The market-moving detail the WSJ didn't publish: a second creditor coordination agreement was signed the same week as the public LME announcement. Our confidence rating on that claim: 87% verified. Here's what it means for pricing…
Rate Dashboard
US HY Spread
+312 bps
↑ +18bps WoW
EUR IG Spread
+88 bps
↓ −4bps WoW
HFRI Distressed
+7.95% YTD
↑ Best since 2009
EM Sovereign HY
+17.0% YTD
↑ Venezuela, Lebanon
This Week's Verified
14 claims
6 False · 5 Misleading · 3 True

What's inside
every issue

Not a news aggregator. Not a summary of things you've already read. The Distressed Brief is journalist-verified market intelligence — the kind that lets you act with confidence when it matters.

01 / 06
📡
The Verified Claim of the Week
The single most market-moving claim circulating in credit markets — fact-checked by Unravel's journalist network with a confidence rating, source count, and our verdict. The intelligence edge that matters most.
02 / 06
🏚️
Distressed Situation Radar
3–5 emerging or developing restructuring situations on our radar. Not the ones already on Bloomberg. The ones heading there. LME developments, covenant triggers, creditor coordination signals.
03 / 06
🌍
EM Intelligence Dispatch
On-the-ground reporting from Unravel's journalist network in LatAm, EMEA, and Asia — the markets where the intelligence gap is largest and the returns are most significant.
04 / 06
📊
Rate & Spread Dashboard
Key credit market metrics distilled: HY spreads, EM sovereign yields, HFRI distressed index, leverage loan index coverage ratios. The numbers that tell you where we are in the cycle.
05 / 06
🔬
One Deep Dive
A single topic, explored properly. How LMEs actually work. The $1.2T maturity wall explained. Why PIK usage is a leading indicator. The analysis you'd pay a restructuring advisor for — free.
06 / 06
🏗️
Building Unravel — Founder Notes
A brief note from me on what we shipped at Unravel this week, what I learned, and one thing from the intersection of AI, engineering, and credit markets that I think you'll find useful.
Who reads this
Primary Reader
Hedge Fund Credit Analysts & PMs
Managing distressed or multi-strategy credit books. You need verified intelligence on emerging situations — fast. The Distressed Brief surfaces what you'd otherwise find in 3 hours of manual sourcing.
Verified claims with confidence scores, not raw rumors
Primary Reader
PE Distressed Directors & Associates
Sourcing proprietary deals and monitoring portfolio companies for credit deterioration. You need early signals — not press releases. The Brief is your weekly early-warning scan.
Pre-distress signals and LME developments before the market prices them
Secondary Reader
Bank Special Situations & Credit VPs
Managing EMEA and LatAm credit book exposures. Regulatory compliance requires defensible intelligence. The Brief provides journalist-verified, audit-ready market intelligence.
Human-verified output — built for compliance-conscious institutions
Growing Reader
HNWI & Sophisticated Private Investors
Investing in credit or distressed assets directly or through co-investments. You want to understand where the market is heading with the same depth as institutional professionals.
Institutional-grade intelligence, accessible to individuals
Sergey Vorobey
Sergey Vorobey
@realsergeyvorobey
The person behind it

We are building Unravel Global — an AI platform that fact-checks market-moving claims in real time, backed by a global network of on-the-ground journalists. Our clients are credit investors who need to know what's actually happening in a distressed situation before the market prices it.

I started The Distressed Brief because I was already doing this research every week for our product — and it seemed wasteful not to share the most useful parts with the community we're building for.

Every claim I report in this newsletter has been run through our verification process. I don't publish rumors. I publish what's been corroborated by at least two independent journalist sources and rated by our AI confidence model.

"My mission has always been developing technology to help the world move forward. One biggest challenge that slows it down is misinformation and fake news, which impacts our lives through financial markets every day without us even realizing it. Not anymore. Unravel Global is here to serve you not only by providing truth, but building wealth as well."
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